MBA Research Update from CREF 2016
February 11, 2016
In early February at MBA’s CREF 2016 Convention, the MBA released several reports covering the commercial/multifamily real estate finance markets. The reports are part of MBA’s ongoing research and analysis. Among the findings:
- 2015 Q4 Commercial/Multifamily Originations Up 19%; Total 2015 Up 24%
- Volume of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgages Maturing Grows 51%
- MBA Forecasts 3% Rise in Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations in 2016; Mortgage Debt Outstanding to Rise to $2.9 trillion
- MBA Releases 2015 Year-End Commercial/Multifamily Servicer Rankings
Abstracts of and links to the reports can be found below, and more information is also available in MBA’s CREF Database and on www.mba.org/crefresearch
2015 Q4 Commercial/Multifamily Originations Up 19%; Total 2015 Up 24%
There were strong volumes of borrowing and lending for commercial real estate in 2015. In particular, the fourth quarter was the fourth highest for borrowing and lending on record. Banks, life insurance companies, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw their highest tallied originations volumes. Of the major investor groups, only the CMBS market didn’t break a record for originations. In terms of overall borrowing and lending volumes, 2015 as a whole was likely second only to 2007.
View MBA’s Q4 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations Index
Volume of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgages Maturing Grows 51%
Eleven percent or $183.3 billion of $1.7 trillion of outstanding commercial and multifamily mortgages held by non-bank lenders and investors will mature in 2016, a 51 percent increase from the $121 billion that matured in 2015. Maturities will grow to $208 billion in 2017.
Learn more about MBA’s Year-end 2015 Commercial/Multifamily Loan Maturity Volumes Report
MBA Forecasts 3% Rise in Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations in 2016; Mortgage Debt Outstanding to Rise to $2.9 trillion
Commercial and multifamily real estate finance markets are expected to remain strong. A growing economy, coupled with only gradual increases in interest rates, will continue to support the commercial property market, but there is a chance that cap rates could increase more rapidly in response to rising interest rates, impacting property sales and mortgage originations.
View MBA’s Fifth Annual Commercial/Multifamily Real Estate Finance Forecast (members only access)
MBA Releases 2015 Year-End Commercial/Multifamily Servicer Rankings
MBA’s Servicer Rankings includes breakouts for primary, master and special servicing. It also ranks firms by their total volumes, as well as their servicing for specific investor groups, including CMBS, life insurance company, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHA and other groups.
View MBA’s Year-End 2015 Commercial/Multifamily Servicer Rankings